|
April 26, 2004, U.S.
Edition

The President Must Command
What the Iraq question needs right now
is a totally engaged American president, immersed in every element of
the military operation
By
Fareed Zakaria
Desperate to stop the
transition in Iraq from coming apart, the United States has finally done
what it said it would never do--give the United Nations a central political
role. It may be too late. The occupation has already been branded an all-American
affair and the move might be seen as window dressing. Still, better to
try it than persist in the old course. But this rectifies only one of
the two major errors of the occupation. The other was to allow a security
vacuum to develop within Iraq. Things looked better last week, but sieges
in two cities, constant explosions and a tape of a captive American GI
are reminders of how grim the situation essentially is. Iraq remains unstable
and insecure. If this problem isn't solved, the United Nations can sprinkle
all the magic dust it wants and it will not matter.
In fact, things could get worse. After July 1, the
United States will have to combat insurgents by working through a sovereign
Iraqi government that will have its own constraints. If the insurgency
persists, the new government might be seen as weak and never gain the
respect of its nation. Reconstruction will slow to a crawl as foreigners
leave the country.
The blunt truth is that we still need more troops
in Iraq. Yes, it would be nice to have foreign troops or to have well-trained
Iraqi forces. But for now neither option exists. We have a choice between
more American troops or continued instability.
The Third Infantry Division is apparently going back
in. We have two to three divisions earmarked for a conflict in Korea that
could be moved. Overall we could probably add 50,000 to 60,000 troops
to the current force in Iraq. This bulked-up presence would be needed
for about six months. By July there should be an Iraq government partnering
with the United Nations to write a constitution and hold elections. In
those circumstances, and with good diplomacy, we should be able to get
some countries to contribute to an international force. Plus, six months
of additional training will strengthen the Iraqi security and police forces
considerably.
Whenever George Bush or Donald Rumsfeld have been asked
about the need for more troops, they answer almost identically. If the
generals ask for them, they explain, we'll give them what they want. For
months they explained that the military didn't want more troops. Suddenly
this changed last week.
Hiding behind the military is disingenuous. The generals
know full well that they are not supposed to ask for more troops. For
months, lower-level military officers openly admitted that they needed
more troops, but their generals were too worried about crossing Rumsfeld
and Bush. (General Abizaid tried squaring this circle six months ago when
he explained to The New York Times that of course he needed more troops
but only foreign troops not U.S. ones.)
In any event, the job of civilian leaders is not simply
to rubber-stamp military requests. In his book "Supreme Command,"
Eliot Cohen points out that great wartime leaders always question military
strategy and tactics. War, as Clausewitz famously said, is the extension
of politics by other means. It takes politicians to make political judgments.
If this argument sounds familiar, it's because you heard
it often in the fall of 2002, when George Bush had decided to wage war
in Iraq. The uniformed military argued that a successful Iraq operation
would require several hundred thousand troops. Rumsfeld and his deputy,
Paul Wolfowitz, were openly dismissive of the military's views. The president
let reporters know that he was reading Cohen's book to signal to the generals
that he was happy to overrule them.
One is tempted to say, if Bush was so mindful of what the
military wanted, he should have listened to them in 2002. But generals
are neither always right nor wrong. As Cohen concludes, a good supreme
commander will give the military leeway but will be constantly asking
questions, examining assumptions and searching for new strategies and
tactics.
Militaries, even superb ones like America's, have institutional
biases. For example, armies tend to fight a counterinsurgency the way
they fight warwith massive force. The American Army is smart, and
trained in counterinsurgency, but does tend to revert to what it does
best. The problem is that this military strategy has terrible political
consequencescreating broader support for the insurgencyas
Algeria, Vietnam, Northern Ireland and countless other examples show.
Armies also don't like doing peacekeeping. Patrolling streets,
fighting crime, making contact with locals isn't what people join the
army to do. It also interferes with force protection, an understandable
and legitimate concern of commanders. And yet, success in Iraq will depend
on successful peacekeeping.
What we need now is a totally engaged commander in chief,
immersed in every element of the Iraq operation, who is willing to listen
carefully to generals but also willing to push them to achieve political
objectives. This is not a job that can be delegated to the military or
anybody else.
Back
to top
|