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September 3, 2001
U.S. Edition

The Myth Of
the Super-CEO
Rumsfeld
and O'Neill are the latest chiefs to fumble in a place where power works
differently.
By
Fareed Zakaria
Harry
Truman didn't think his successor had the right training to be president.
"Poor Ike--it won't be a bit like the Army," he said. "He'll sit there
all day saying 'do this, do that,' and nothing will happen." Truman was
wrong about Ike. Dwight Eisenhower had led a fractious alliance--you didn't
tell Winston Churchill what to do--in a massive, chaotic war. He was used
to politics. But Truman's insight could well be applied to another, even
more venerated Washington figure: the CEO turned cabinet secretary.
A 20-year bull market
has convinced us all that CEOs are geniuses, so we watch with astonishment
the troubles of Donald Rumsfeld and Paul O'Neill. Here are two highly
regarded businessmen, obviously intelligent and well-informed, foundering
in their jobs.
Actually, we shouldn't
be surprised. Rumsfeld and O'Neill are not doing badly despite having
been successful CEOs but because of it. The record of senior businessmen
in government is one of almost unrelieved disappointment, from Herbert
Hoover, thought to be the smartest executive in America; to General Motors
president Charles Wilson, who was utterly ineffective as Eisenhower's
secretary of Defense; to Robert McNamara, the wunderkind of the business
establishment, to Donald Regan, former head of Merrill Lynch. McNamara's
attempt to use a tangible measure--the famous "body count"--to quantify
progress in the
Vietnam War is almost
a caricature of misapplying managerial methods to the complex and qualitative
realm of politics. In fact, with the exception of Robert Rubin, it is
difficult to think of a CEO who had a successful career in government.
Why is this? Well,
first the CEO has to recognize that he is no longer the CEO. He is at
best an adviser to the CEO, the president. But even the president is not
really the CEO. No one is. Power in a corporation is concentrated and
vertically structured. Power in Washington is diffuse and horizontally
spread out. The secretary might think he's in charge of his agency. But
the chairman of the congressional committee funding that agency feels
the same. And White House political operatives think they have ultimate
authority on all big decisions. In his famous study "Presidential Power
and the Modern Presidents," Richard Neustadt explains how little power
the president actually has and concludes that the only lasting presidential
power is "the power to persuade."
Take Rumsfeld's
attempt to transform the cold-war military into one geared for the future.
It's innovative but (and?) deeply threatening to almost everyone in Washington.
The Defense secretary did not try to sell it to the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
Congress, the budget office or the White House. As a result, the idea
is collapsing. In fact, as the surplus shrinks and the White House confronts
choices between spending on education, health care and defense, Rumsfeld
is likely to end up with little money and less reform.
Second, what power
you have, you must use carefully. For example, O'Neill's position as Treasury
secretary is one with little formal authority. Unlike finance ministers
around the world, Treasury does not control the budget. But it has symbolic
power. The secretary is seen as the chief economic spokesman for the administration
and, if he plays it right, the chief economic adviser to the president.
"The podium is your power, so you use it very carefully," says Robert
Hormats, who has spent years in both government and the private sector.
"Many of O'Neill's comments about the dollar, corporate taxation, IMF
bailouts and pensions are interesting. But his role is not to toss out
nifty ideas. It sets markets on edge."
O'Neill has been
publicly critical of the IMF's bailout packages for developing countries
while at the same time approving such packages for Turkey, Argentina and
Brazil. As a result, he has gotten the worst of both worlds. The bailouts
continue, but their effect in bolstering investor confidence is limited
because the markets are rattled by his skepticism.
Perhaps the government
doesn't do bailouts well. But that leads to a third rule: you can't just
quit. Jack Welch's famous law for re-engineering General Electric was
to be first or second in any given product category, or else get out of
that business. But if the government isn't doing a particular job at peak
level, it doesn't always have the option of divesting itself of that function.
The Pentagon probably wastes a lot of money. But it can't get out of the
national-security business.
The key to former
Treasury secretary Rubin's success may have been that he fully understood
that business and government are, in his words, "necessarily and properly
very different." In a recent speech he explained: "Business functions
around one predominant organizing principle, profitability... Government,
on the other hand, deals with a vast number of equally legitimate and
often potentially competing objectives--for example, energy production
versus environmental protection, or safety regulations versus productivity."
Rubin's example
shows that talented people can do well in government if they are willing
to treat it as its own separate, serious endeavor. But having been bathed
in a culture of adoration and sycophancy--what one senior executive called
"the Sun Kingsyndrome"--it's difficult for a CEO to believe he needs to
listen and learn, particularly from those despised and poorly paid specimens,
politicians, bureaucrats and the media. And even if he knows it intellectually,
he just can't live it. After all, Rumsfeld simply needed to read one of
his own "rules," which says, "In our system leadership is by consent not
command." Yes sir, Mr. Secretary!
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