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November 18, 2002,
U.S. Edition

They're Rooting
For America, Too
East
Asians worry that U.S. foreign policy will fail. Europeans worry that
it will succeed.
By
Fareed Zakaria
I
was in
Singapore when President Bush's twin successes, the midterm-election results
and the United Nations resolution, filled the television news, and I asked
a veteran diplomat the conventional question: was he worried that President
George W. Bush now had an even freer hand to do anything he wanted to?
"Oh, no," the diplomat replied. "Our chief hope is to quickly conclude
a free-trade pact with the United States, so this probably helps. But
we're the wrong place to ask your question. We're hopelessly pro-American."
Perhaps it's the
wrong region. I asked a senior Malaysian politician what advice he had
for Washington. His response: "Support us, forge a closer alliance with
Malaysia." Traveling through Southeast Asia last week, I was struck by
how differently it reacts to American power than Europe does. Even in
Indonesia, a country with a tradition of xenophobic nationalism, the attitude,
while a lot more prickly, is not quite that of, say, France or Russia.
East Asians worry
about American heavy-handedness in the war on terror, unilateralism, poor
communication with the Islamic world. In other words, they worry that
American foreign policy will fail. Europeans, on the other hand, worry
that American foreign policy will succeed.
Take our policy
toward Iraq. If it succeeded--and Saddam Hussein were disarmed or replaced
with a better regime--imagine Europe's circumstances. It would confront
an America that would be even more powerful. Where would that leave France?
Europe's great powers feel an understandable competition with the United
States. They once wielded huge influence across the globe, are rich and
have their own ideas about ordering the world. But all they get are supporting
roles in a movie produced by, directed by and starring the United States
of America. (To be fair, this generalization best applies to the elites
of a few key countries. Feelings in Central Europe, for example, are closer
to the East Asians' than to their Western brethren's.)
East Asians' (and
Central Europeans') history is not one of dominating but of being dominated,
by non-American imperial powers. That doesn't mean they are enthusiastic
about American foreign policy. They have many criticisms but, in the end,
accept it as being better than the alternatives. "We've lived in this
region with the British, the Dutch, the Japanese, and are now watching
the rise of China," the Malaysian politician explained. "We want America
to stay vibrant and to assist us in developing our country, but we worry
that it is going down the wrong path." The people I spoke to all worried
that a war in Iraq would go badly, creating a chaotic postwar landscape
and furthering tensions between America and the Islamic world. In other
words, they fear that America will fail, but hope that it does succeed.
During my tour,
Iraq was topic No. 1 on everybody's mind. I could barely find a single
person who was in favor of a war. (There were some in Singapore.) When
I would make the case for the urgent need to disarm Saddam Hussein and
the great opportunity to help Iraqis build a modern Arab state, people
would listenquizzically. They would dispute the facts, my account of America's
motives, the prospects for a better Iraq. Then finally they would get
to what really bothered them and say in exasperation, "But why do you
get to decide who gets replaced 6,000 miles away?"
This is the heart
of the world's problem with America, even for those who admire and need
it. People don't like the fact that a single, distant country has so much
power over their lives. I asked Azyumardi Azra, head of a major university
in Indonesia, whether anti-Americanism was on the rise. "Yes," he said,
"but it's not because of any real rise in Islamic fundamentalism. After
the Bali bomb blast, our president dithered, did nothing and then was
pressured to act by Washington. Had she taken bold steps herself, people
would have applauded. But to do what the American superpower wants, that's
humiliating."
For much of the
world, what was most heartening was not that Bush won the battle within
the United Nations but that Colin Powell won the war within the administration.
"When I saw that Syria voted for the U.N. resolution on Iraq, I was thrilled,"
said Hary Tjan Silalahi, an Indonesian scholar. "It's not that I care
about Syria at all, but I breathed a sigh of relief that people couldn't
look at this resolution and say it was America versus Arabs or the West
versus Islam. It makes things so much better for us, the moderates in
the Muslim world." Because America's policies were presented through an
international body, in cooperation with other nations, it made it possible
for people to gulp and accept our awesome power.
In a sense, America
faces the same challenge that Bush does, now that he has unified control
of the American government: how best to handle hegemony; and while the
Democratic Party may, one of these days, provide an external balance to
the president's power, America's power is likely to remain unchecked for
some time. To retain its legitimacy, the source of genuine authority,
America will need to find an internal balance.
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