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November 28, 2005 U.S. Edition

First Ladies, in The Truest Sense
By Fareed Zakaria
Sometimes the most
important stories in the world don't get much attention because they're
powerful but slow trends that can't be easily covered. They provide no
single great event for cameras to focus on, nor a powerful image everyone
can easily grasp. (How do you televise globalization?) Last week, however,
something happened that gives us a rare opportunity to look at one such
trend. On Nov. 8, Liberians elected the Harvard-educated Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf,
67, to be their next leader. This is newsworthy by itself because Johnson-Sirleaf
will be Africa's first female president. But it's an even bigger story
because, on the world stage, it's not an isolated event. One of the quiet,
underreported tidal waves of the past decade has been the rise of women
in public life. It could reshape politics as we know it.
Look at what's happening elsewhere. Next week, Angela
Merkel will become the first female chancellor of Germany. In voting over
the next two months, Michelle Bachelet will likely be elected president
of Chile; if so, she will be the first woman elected to lead a major Latin
American country. Since the 1990s, more than 30 women have become heads
of government. In the 1950s there was just one. (I doubt anyone remembers:
Suhbaataryn Yanjmaa, president of Mongolia.)
It's not just heads of state. Whatever else happens
in the Iraqi elections on Dec. 15, we know one thing for sure: women will
fill at least 25 percent of seats in the new Parliament. That's because
the Iraqi Constitution has a quota requiring it. (The current Parliament
is actually 31 percent female, and six of the government's 32 ministers
are women.) The Afghan Constitution has a similar 25 percent quota. And
these are part of a global pattern.
Overall, 50 countries have quotas for female representation
in their legislatures. In many countries, like Sweden, political parties
have adopted rules that force them to field a set number of women candidates.
(Forty-five percent of the Swedish Legislature is female.) The world record
for female representation is held by Rwanda, with women making up 49 percent
of its lower house. The United States ranks 67th in the world by this
measure, with only 15 percent of the House of Representatives being female.
The lowest representation by region is in the Arab world, with women making
up only 8 percent of legislatures.
What difference does it make? Does it really matter
that a president or a representative is male or female? Many voters seem
to think so. A 2000 Gallup poll in Latin America found that 62 percent
of people believed that women would do better than men at fighting poverty,
72 percent favored women for improving education and 53 percent thought
women would make better diplomats. There is growing evidence that, at
the very least, where women make up a significant percentage of government,
they tend to hold priorities that are different from men's. The World
Economic Forum found, in a study of just three countries, that women wanted
more money for health care, education and social welfare, and less for
the military. Across the globe, women are perceived as less corrupt.
This is consistent with growing evidence at a micro
level that women are better recipients of aid than men. Around the world,
if you give cash to a mother, she tends to use it to invest in children's
health and education. (A man, on the other hand, will often take it and
head to the local watering hole.) "Studies from Brazil show that
survival possibilities of a child increase by 20 percent if the income
is in the hands of the mother rather than the father," says the World
Bank's Mayra Buvinic.
There is another perceived difference between men
and women. Seven years ago, Francis Fukuyama published an article in Foreign
Affairs in which he drew on the rapidly growing field of evolutionary
biology to argue that "aggression, violence, war, and intense competition
for dominance ... are more closely associated with men than women."
He concluded that "a world run by women would follow different rules...and
it is towards this kind of world that all post-industrial societies in
the West are moving. As women gain power in these countries, the latter
should become less aggressive, adventurous, competitive, and violent."
He even asks the politically incorrect question, could some "female"
traits have negative effects for governance.
Fukuyama's view was denounced by some feminists for
ignoring the reality that war is a complex event produced by many forces-not
just machismo-and for propagating a stereotypical view of women as "soft"
and men as "hard." But there does appear to be growing scientific
evidence that certain basic distinctions between men and women are hard-wired.
There are always the female exceptionsMargaret Thatcher, Golda Meir,
Indira Gandhi-just as there are male onesthe Buddha, Gandhi-but
there are some studies that support the general distinction between most
men and women.
It is much too soon to be able to tell how different the world would be
if women were equal partners in government. But it's a trend that's coming
soon to a country near you, so keep watching.
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