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March/April,
1994
Foreign
Affairs
Culture Is Destiny; A Conversation with Lee Kuan Yew
By Fareed Zakaria
MEETING
THE MINISTER
"ONE OF THE ASYMMETRIES of history," wrote Henry Kissinger of Singapore's
patriarch Lee Kuan Yew, "is the lack of correspondence between the abilities
of some leaders and the power of their countries." Kissinger's one time
boss, Richard Nixon, was even more flattering. He speculated that, had
Lee lived in another time and another place, he might have "attained the
world stature of a Churchill, a Disraeli, or a Gladstone." This tag line
of a big man on a small stage has been attached to Lee since the 1970s.
Today, however, his stage does not look quite so small. Singapore's per
capita GNP is now higher than that of its erstwhile colonizer, Great Britain.
It has the world's busiest port, is the third-largest oil refiner and
a major center of global manufacturing and service industries. And this
move from poverty to plenty has taken place within one generation. In
1965 Singapore ranked economically with Chile, Argentina and Mexico; today
its per capita GNP is four or five times theirs.
Lee managed this miraculous transformation in Singapore's economy while
maintaining tight political control over the country; Singapore's government
can best be described as a "soft" authoritarian regime, and at times it
has not been so soft. He was prime minister of Singapore from its independence
in 1959 (it became part of a federation with Malaysia in 1963 but was
expelled in 1965) until 199o, when he allowed his deputy to succeed him.
He is now "Senior Minister" and still commands enormous influence and
power in the country. Since his retirement, Lee has embarked on another
career of sorts as a world-class pundit, speaking his mind with impolitic
frankness. And what is often on his mind is American-style democracy and
its perils. He travels often to East Asian capitals from Beijing to Hanoi
to Manila dispensing advice on how to achieve economic growth while retaining
political stability and control. It is a formula that the governing elites
of these countries are anxious to learn.
The rulers of former British colonies have been spared the embarrassment
of building grandiose monuments to house their offices; they simply occupy
the ones that the British built. So it is with Singapore. The president,
prime minister and senior minister work out of Istana (palace), the old
colonial governor's house, a gleaming white bungalow surrounded by luxuriant
lawns. The interior is modern light wood paneling and leather sofas. The
atmosphere is hushed. I waited in a large anteroom for the "SM," which
is how everybody refers to Lee. I did not wait long. The SM was standing
in the middle of a large, sparsely furnished office. He is of medium build.
His once-compact physique is now slightly shrunken. Still, he does not
look 70.
Lee Kuan Yew is unlike any politician I have met. There were no smiles,
no jokes, no bonhomie. He looked straight at me he has an inexpressive
face but an intense gaze -- shook hands and motioned toward one of the
room's pale blue leather sofas (I had already been told by his press secretary
on which one to sit). After 30 awkward seconds, I realized that there
would be no small talk. I pressed the record button on my machine.
FZ: With the end of the Cold War, many Americans were surprised to
hear growing criticism of their political and economic and social system
from elites in East Asia, who were considered staunchly pro-American.
What, in your view, is wrong with the American system?
LKY:
It is not my business to tell people what's wrong with their system. It
is my business to tell people not to foist their system indiscriminately
on societies in which it will not work.
FZ: But you do not view the United States as a model for other
countries?
LKY: As an East Asian looking at America, I find attractive and
unattractive features. I like, for example, the free, easy and open relations
between people regardless of social status, ethnicity or religion. And
the things that I have always admired about America, as against the communist
system, I still do: a certain openness in argument about what is good
or bad for society; the accountability of public officials; none of the
secrecy and terror that's part and parcel of communist government.
But as a total system, I find parts of it totally unacceptable: guns,
drugs, violent crime, vagrancy, unbecoming behavior in public -- in sum
the breakdown of civil society. The expansion of the right of the individual
to behave or misbehave as he pleases has come at the expense of orderly
society. In the East the main object is to have a well-ordered society
so that everybody can have maximum enjoyment of his freedoms. This freedom
can only exist in an ordered state and not in a natural state of contention
and anarchy.
Let me give you an example that encapsulates the whole difference between
America and Singapore. America has a vicious drug problem. How does it
solve it? It goes around the world helping other antinarcotic agencies
to try and stop the suppliers. It pays for helicopters, defoliating agents
and so on. And when it is provoked, it captures the president of Panama
and brings him to trial in Florida. Singapore does not have that option.
We can't go to Burma and capture warlords there. What we can do is to
pass a law which says that any customs officer or policeman who sees anybody
in Singapore behaving suspiciously, leading him to suspect the person
is under the influence of drugs, can require that man to have his urine
tested. If the sample is found to contain drugs, the man immediately goes
for treatment. In America if you did that it would be an invasion of the
individual's rights and you would be sued.
I was interested to read Colin Powell, when he was chairman of the Joint
Chiefs of Staff, saying that the military followed our approach because
when a recruit signs up he agrees that he can be tested. Now, I would
have thought this kind of approach would be quite an effective way to
deal with the terrible drug problem you have. But the idea of the inviolability
of the individual has been turned into dogma. And yet nobody minds when
the army goes and captures the president of another state and brings him
to Florida and puts him in jail. I find that incomprehensible. And in
any case this approach will not solve America's drug problem. Whereas
Singapore's way, we may not solve it, but we will lessen it considerably,
as we have done.
FZ: Would
it be fair to say that you admired America more 25 years ago? What, in
your view, went wrong?
LKY: Yes,
things have changed. I would hazard a guess that it has a lot to do with
the erosion of the moral underpinnings of a society and the diminution
of personal responsibility. The liberal, intellectual tradition that developed
after World War II claimed that human beings had arrived at this perfect
state where everybody would be better off if they were allowed to do their
own thing and flourish. It has not worked out, and I doubt if it will.
Certain basics about human nature do not change. Man needs a certain moral
sense of right and wrong. There is such a thing called evil, and it is
not the result of being a victim of society. You are just an evil man,
prone to do evil things, and you have to be stopped from doing them. Westerners
have abandoned an ethical basis for society, believing that all problems
are solvable by a good government, which we in the East never believed
possible.
FZ: Is such
a fundamental shift in culture irreversible?
LKY: No,
it is a swing of the pendulum. I think it will swing back. I don't know
how long it will take, but there's already a backlash in America against
failed social policies that have resulted in people urinating in public,
in aggressive begging in the streets, in social breakdown.
THE ASIAN MODEL
FZ: You say
that your real concern is that this system not be foisted on other societies
because it will not work there. Is there another viable model for political
and economic development? Is there an "Asian model"?
LKY: I don't
think there is an Asian model as such. But Asian societies are unlike
Western ones. The fundamental difference between Western concepts of society
and government and East Asian concepts -- when I say East Asians, I mean
Korea, Japan, China, Vietnam, as distinct from Southeast Asia, which is
a mix between the Sinic and the Indian, though Indian culture also emphasizes
similar values -- is that Eastern societies believe that the individual
exists in the context of his family. He is not pristine and separate.
The family is part of the extended family, and then friends and the wider
society. The ruler or the government does not try to provide for a person
what the family best provides.
In the West, especially
after World War II, the government came to be seen as so successful that
it could fulfill all the obligations that in less modern societies are
fulfilled by the family. This approach encouraged alternative families,
single mothers for instance, believing that government could provide the
support to make up for the absent father. This is a bold, Huxleyan view
of life, but one from which I as an East Asian shy away. I would be afraid
to experiment with it. I'm not sure what the consequences are, and I don't
like the consequences that I see in the West. You will find this view
widely shared in East Asia. It's not that we don't have single mothers
here. We are also caught in the same social problems of change when we
educate our women and they become independent financially and no longer
need to put up with unhappy marriages. But there is grave disquiet when
we break away from tested norms, and the tested norm is the family unit.
It is the building brick of society.
There is a little
Chinese aphorism which encapsulates this idea: Xiushen qijia zhiguo pingtianxia.
Xiushen means look after yourself, cultivate yourself, do everything to
make yourself useful; Qijia, look after the family; Zhiguo, look after
your country; Pingtianxia, all is peaceful under heaven. We have a whole
people immersed in these beliefs. My granddaughter has the name Xiu-qi.
My son picked out the first two words, instructing his daughter to cultivate
herself and look after her family. It is the basic concept of our civilization.
Governments will come, governments will go, but this endures. We start
with self-reliance. In the West today it is the opposite. The government
says give me a popular mandate and I will solve all society's problems.
FZ: What
would you do instead to address America's problems?
LKY: What
would I do if I were an American? First, you must have order in society.
Guns, drugs and violent crime all go together, threatening social order.
Then the schools; when you have violence in schools, you are not going
to have education, so you've got to put that right. Then you have to educate
rigorously and train a whole generation of skilled, intelligent, knowledgeable
people who can be productive. I would start off with basics, working on
the individual, looking at him within the context of his family, his friends,
his society. But the Westerner says I'll fix things at the top. One magic
formula, one grand plan. I will wave a wand and everything will work out.
It's an interesting theory but not a proven method.
BACK TO BASICS
FZ: You are
very skeptical of government's ability to solve deeper social issues.
But you're more confident, certainly than many Americans are, in the government's
ability to promote economic growth and technological advancement. Isn't
this a contradiction?
LKY: No.
We have focused on basics in Singapore. We used the family to push economic
growth, factoring the ambitions of a person and his family into our planning.
We have tried, for example, to improve the lot of children through education.
The government can create a setting in which people can live happily and
succeed and express themselves, but finally it is what people do with
their lives that determines economic success or failure. Again, we were
fortunate we had this cultural backdrop, the belief in thrift, hard work,
filial piety and loyalty in the extended family, and, most of all, the
respect for scholarship and learning.
There is, of course,
another reason for our success. We have been able to create economic growth
because we facilitated certain changes while we moved from an agricultural
society to an industrial society. We had the advantage of knowing what
the end result should be by looking at the West and later Japan. We knew
where we were, and we knew where we had to go. We said to ourselves, "Let's
hasten, let's see if we can get there faster." But soon we will face a
different situation. In the near future, all of us will get to the stage
of Japan. Where do we go next? How do we hasten getting there when we
don't know where we're going? That will be a new situation.
FZ: Some
people say that the Asian model is too rigid to adapt well to change.
The sociologist Mancur Olson argues that national decline is caused most
fundamentally by sclerosis -- the rigidity of interest groups, firms,
labor, capital and the state. An American-type system that is very flexible,
laissez-faire and constantly adapting is better suited to the emerging
era of rapid change than a government-directed economic policy and a Confucian
value system.
LKY: That
is an optimistic and attractive philosophy of life, and I hope it will
come true. But if you look at societies over the millennia you find certain
basic patterns. American civilization from the Pilgrim fathers on is one
of optimism and the growth of orderly government. History in China is
of dynasties which have risen and fallen, of the waxing and waning of
societies.
And through all that
turbulence, the family, the extended family, the clan, has provided a
kind of survival raft for the individual. Civilizations have collapsed,
dynasties have been swept away by conquering hordes, but this life raft
enables the civilization to carry on and get to its next phase. Nobody
here really believes that the government can provide in all circumstances.
The government itself does not believe it. In the ultimate crisis, even
in earthquakes and typhoons, it is your human relationships that will
see you through. So the thesis you quote, that the government is always
capable of reinventing itself in new shapes and forms, has not been proven
in history. But the family and the way human relationships are structured,
do increase the survival chances of its members. That has been tested
over thousands of years in many different situations.
THE CULTURE OF
SUCCESS
FZ: A key
ingredient of national economic success in the past has been a culture
of innovation and experimentation. During their rise to great wealth and
power the centers of growth -- Venice, Holland, Britain, the United States
-- all had an atmosphere of intellectual freedom in which new ideas, technologies,
methods and products could emerge. In East Asian countries, however, the
government frowns upon an open and free wheeling intellectual climate.
Leaving aside any kind of human rights questions this raises, does it
create a productivity problem?
LKY: Intellectually
that sounds like a reasonable conclusion, but I'm not sure things will
work out this way. The Japanese, for instance, have not been all that
disadvantaged in creating new products. I think that if governments are
aware of your thesis and of the need to test out new areas, to break out
of existing formats, they can counter the trend. East Asians, who all
share a tradition of strict discipline, respect for the teacher, no talking
back to the teacher and rote learning, must make sure that there is this
random intellectual search for new technologies and products. In any case,
in a world where electronic communications are instantaneous, I do not
see anyone lagging behind. Anything new that happens spreads quickly,
whether it's superconductivity or some new life-style.
FZ: Would
you agree with the World Bank report on East Asian economic success, which
I interpret to have concluded that all the governments that succeeded
got fundamentals right -- encouraging savings and investment, keeping
inflation low, providing high-quality education. The tinkering of industrial
policies here and targeting sectors there was not as crucial an element
in explaining these countries' extraordinary economic growth as were these
basic factors.
LKY: I think
the World Bank had a very difficult job. It had to write up these very,
very complex series of situations. But there are cultural factors which
have been lightly touched over, which deserved more weightage. This would
have made it a more complex study and of less universal application, but
it would have been more accurate, explaining the differences, for example,
between the Philippines and Taiwan.
FZ: If culture
is so important, then countries with very different cultures may not,
in fact, succeed in the way that East Asia did by getting economic fundamentals
right. Are you not hopeful for the countries around the world that are
liberalizing their economies?
LKY: Getting
the fundamentals right would help, but these societies will not succeed
in the same way as East Asia did because certain driving forces will be
absent. If you have a culture that doesn't place much value in learning
and scholarship and hard work and thrift and deferment of present enjoyment
for future gain, the going will be much slower.
But, you know, the
World Bank report's conclusions are part of the culture of America and,
by extension, of international institutions. It had to present its findings
in a bland and universalizable way, which I find unsatisfying because
it doesn't grapple with the real problems. It makes the hopeful assumption
that all men are equal, that people all over the world are the same. They
are not.
Groups of people
develop different characteristics when they have evolved for thousands
of years separately. Genetics and history interact. The Native American
Indian is genetically of the same stock as the Mongoloids of East Asia
-- the Chinese, the Koreans and the Japanese. But one group got cut off
after the Bering Straits melted away. Without that land bridge they were
totally isolated in America for thousands of years. The other, in East
Asia, met successive invading forces from Central Asia and interacted
with waves of people moving back and forth. The two groups may share certain
characteristics, for instance if you measure the shape of their skulls
and so on, but if you start testing them you find that they are different,
most particularly in their neurological development, and their cultural
values.
Now if you gloss
over these kinds of issues because it is politically incorrect to study
them, then you have laid a land mine for yourself. This is what leads
to the disappointments with social policies, embarked upon in America
with great enthusiasm and expectations, but which yield such meager results.
There isn't a willingness to see things in their stark reality. But then
I am not being politically correct.
FZ: Culture
may be important, but it does change. The Asian "model" may prove to be
a transitional phenomenon. After all, Western countries also went through
a period in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries when they were capitalist
and had limited participatory democracy. Elites then worried -- as you
do today -- that "too much" democracy and "too many" individual rights
would destabilize social order. But as these societies modernized and
as economic growth spread to all sections of society, things changed.
Isn't East Asia changing because of a growing middle class that demands
a say in its own future?
LKY: There
is acute change in East Asia. We are agricultural societies that have
industrialized within one or two generations. What happened in the West
over 200 years or more is happening here in about 50 years or less. It
is all crammed and crushed into a very tight time frame, so there are
bound to be dislocations and malfunctions. If you look at the fast-growing
countries -- Korea, Thailand, Hong Kong, and Singapore -- there's been
one remarkable phenomenon: the rise of religion. Koreans have taken to
Christianity in large numbers, I think some 25 percent. This is a country
that was never colonized by a Christian nation. The old customs and religions
-- ancestor worship, shamanism -- no longer completely satisfy. There
is a quest for some higher explanations about man's purpose, about why
we are here. This is associated with periods of great stress in society.
You will find in Japan that every time it goes through a period of stress
new sects crop up and new religions proliferate. In Taiwan -- and also
in Hong Kong and Singapore -- you see a rise in the number of new temples;
Confucianist temples, Taoist temples and many Christian sects.
We are all in the
midst of very rapid change and at the same time we are all groping towards
a destination which we hope will be identifiable with our past. We have
left the past behind and there is an underlying unease that there will
be nothing left of us which is part of the old. The Japanese have solved
this problem to some extent. Japan has become an industrial society, while
remaining essentially Japanese in its human relations. They have industrialized
and shed some of their feudal values. The Taiwanese and the Koreans are
trying to do the same. But whether these societies can preserve their
core values and make this transition is a problem which they alone can
solve. It is not something Americans can solve' for them. Therefore, you
will find people unreceptive to the idea that they be Westernized. Modernized,
yes, in the sense that they have accepted the inevitability of science
and technology and the change in the lifestyles they bring.
FZ: But won't
these economic and technological changes produce changes in the mind-sets
of people?
LKY: It is
not just mind-sets that would have to change but value systems. Let me
give anecdotal evidence of this. Many Chinese families in Malaysia migrated
in periods of stress, when there were race riots in Malaysia in the 1960s,
and they settled in Australia and Canada. They did this for the sake of
their children so that they would get a better education in the English
language because then Malaysia was switching to Malay as its primary language.
The children grew up, reached their late teens and left home. And suddenly
the parents discovered the emptiness of the whole exercise. They had given
their children a modern education in the English language and in the process
lost their children altogether. That was a very sobering experience. Something
less dramatic is happening in Singapore now because we are not bringing
up our children in the same circumstances in which we grew up.
FZ: But these
children are absorbing influences different from your generation. You
say that knowledge, life-styles, culture all spread rapidly in this world.
Will not the idea of democracy and individual rights also spread?
LKY: Let's
not get into a debate on semantics. The system of government in China
will change. It will change in Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam. It is changing
in Singapore. But it will not end up like the American or British or French
or German systems. What are we all seeking? A form of government that
will be comfortable, because it meets our needs, is not oppressive, and
maximizes our opportunities. And whether you have one-man, one-vote or
some-men, one vote or other men, two votes, those are forms which should
be worked out. I'm not intellectually convinced that one-man, one-vote
is the best. We practice it because that's what the British bequeathed
us and we haven't really found a need to challenge that. But I'm convinced,
personally, that we would have a better system if we gave every man over
the age of 40 who has a family two votes because he's likely to be more
careful, voting also for his children. He is more likely to vote in a
serious way than a capricious young man under 30. But we haven't found
it necessary yet. If it became necessary we should do it. At the same
time, once a person gets beyond 65, then it is a problem. Between the
ages of 40 and 60 is ideal, and at 60 they should go back to one vote,
but that will be difficult to arrange.
MULTICULTURAL
SCHISMS
FZ: Change
is often most threatening when it occurs in multiethnic societies. You
have been part of both a multiethnic state that failed and one that has
succeeded. Malaysia was unwilling to allow what it saw as a Chinese city-state
to be part of it and expelled Singapore from its federation in 1965. Singapore
itself, however, exists peacefully as a multiethnic state. Is there a
solution for those states that have ethnic and religious groups mixed
within them?
LKY: Each
state faces a different set of problems and I would be most reluctant
to dish out general solutions. From my own experience, I would say, make
haste slowly. Nobody likes to lose his ethnic, cultural, religious, even
linguistic identity. To exist as one state you need to share certain attributes,
have things in common. If you pressure-cook you are in for problems. If
you go gently, but steadily, the logic of events will bring about not
assimilation, but integration. If I had tried to foist the English language
on the people of Singapore I would have faced rebellion all around. If
I had tried to foist the Chinese language, I'd have had immediate revolt
and disaster.
But I offered every
parent a choice of English and their mother tongue, in whatever order
they chose. By their free choice, plus the rewards of the marketplace
over a period of 30 years, we have ended up with English first and the
mother tongue second. We have switched one university already established
in the Chinese language from Chinese into English. Had this change been
forced in five or ten years instead of being done over 30 years -- and
by free choice-- it would have been a disaster.
FZ: This
sounds like a live-and-let-live kind of approach. Many Western countries,
particularly the United States and France, respectively, have traditionally
attempted to assimilate people toward a national mainstream -- with English
and French as the national language, respectively. Today this approach
is being questioned, as you know, with some minority groups in the United
States and France arguing for "multiculturalism," which would allow distinct
and unassimilated minority groups to coexist within the nation. How does
this debate strike you as you read about it in Singapore?
LKY: You
cannot have too many distinct components and be one nation. It makes interchangeability
difficult. If you want complete separateness then you should not come
to live in the host country. But there are circumstances where it is wise
to leave things be. For instance, all races in Singapore are eligible
for jobs and for many other things. But we put the Muslims in a slightly
different category because they are extremely sensitive about their customs,
especially diet. In such matters one has to find a middle path between
uniformity and a certain freedom to be somewhat different. I think it
is wise to leave alone questions of fundamental beliefs and give time
to sort matters out.
FZ: So you
would look at the French handling of their Muslim minorities and say "Go
slow, don't push these people so hard."
LKY: I would
not want to say that because the French having ruled Algeria for many
years know the kind of problems that they are faced with. My approach
would be, if some Muslim girl insists on coming to school with her headdress
on and is prepared to put up with that discomfort, we should be prepared
to put up with the strangeness. But if she joined the customs or immigration
department where it would be confusing to the millions of people who stream
through to have some customs officer looking different, she must wear
the uniform. That approach has worked in Singapore so far.
IS EUROPE'S PAST
ASIA'S FUTURE?
FZ: Let me
shift gears somewhat and ask you some questions about the international
climate in East Asia. The part of the world you live in is experiencing
the kind of growth that the West has experienced for the last 400 years.
The West has not only been the world's great producer of wealth for four
centuries, it has also been the world's great producer of war. Today East
Asia is the locus of great and unsettling growth, with several newly rising
powers close to each other, many with different political systems, historical
animosities, border disputes, and all with ever-increasing quantities
of arms. Should one look at this and ask whether Europe's past will be
East Asia's future?
LKY: No,
it's too simplistic. One reason why growth is likely to last for many
years in East Asia -- and this is just a guess -- is that the peoples
and the governments of East Asia have learned some powerful lessons about
the viciousness and destructiveness of wars. Not only full-scale wars
like in Korea, but guerrilla wars as in Vietnam, in Cambodia and in the
jungles of Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines. We all know
that the more you engage in conflict, the poorer and the more desperate
you become. Visit Cambodia and Vietnam; the world just passed them by.
That lesson will live for a very long time, at least as long as this generation
is alive.
FZ: The most
unsettling change in an international system is the rise of a new great
power. Can the rise of China be accommodated into the East Asian order?
Isn't that kind of growth inevitably destabilizing?
LKY: I don't
think we can speak in terms of just the East Asian order. The question
is: Can the world develop a system in which a country the size of China
becomes part of the management of international peace and stability? Sometime
in the next 20 or 30 years the world, by which I mean the major powers,
will have to agree among themselves how to manage peace and stability,
how to create a system that is both viable and fair. Wars between small
countries won't destroy the whole world, but will only destroy themselves.
But big conflicts between big powers will destroy the world many times
over. That's just too disastrous to contemplate.
At the end of the
last war what they could foresee was the United Nations. The hope was
that the permanent five would maintain the rule of law or gradually spread
the rule of law in international relations. It did not come off because
of Stalin and the Cold War. This is now a new phase. The great powers
-- by which I mean America, Western Europe as a group if they become a
union, Japan, China and, in 20 to 30 years time, the Russian republic
-- have got to find a balance between themselves. I think the best way
forward is through the United Nations. It already has 48 years of experience.
It is imperfect, but what is the alternative? You can not have a consortium
of five big powers lording it over the rest of mankind. They will not
have the moral authority or legitimacy to do it. Are they going to divide
the world into five spheres of influence?
So they have to fall
back on some multilateral framework and work out a set of rules that makes
it viable. There may be conflicts of a minor nature, for instance between
two Latin American countries or two small Southeast Asian countries; that
doesn't really matter. Now if you have two big countries in South Asia
like India and Pakistan and both with nuclear capabilities, then something
has to be done. It is in that context that we have to find a place for
China when it becomes a major economic and military power.
FZ: Is the
Chinese regime stable? Is the growth that's going on there sustainable?
Is the balancing act between economic reform and political control that
Deng Xiaoping is trying to keep going sustainable after his death?
LKY: The
regime in Beijing is more stable than any alternative government that
can be formed in China. Let us assume that the students had carried the
day at Tiananmen and they had formed a government. The same students who
were at Tiananmen went to France and America. They've been quarreling
with each other ever since. What kind of China would they have today?
Something worse than the Soviet Union. China is a vast, disparate country;
there is no alternative to strong central power.
FZ: Do you
worry that the kind of rapid and unequal growth taking place in China
might cause the country to break up?
LKY:
First, the economy is growing everywhere, even in Sichuan, in the heart
of the interior. Disparate growth rates are inevitable. It is the difference
between, say, California before the recession and the Rust Belt. There
will be enormous stresses because of the size of the country and the intractable
nature of the problems -- the poor infrastructure, the weak institutions,
the wrong systems that they have installed, modeling themselves upon the
Soviet system in Stalin's time. Given all those handicaps, I am amazed
that they have got so far.
FZ: What
about the other great East Asian power? If Japan continues on the current
trajectory, should the world encourage the expansion of its political
and military responsibilities and power?
LKY: No.
I know that the present generation of Japanese leaders do not want to
project power. I'm not sure what follows when leaders born after the war
take charge. I doubt if there will be a sudden change. If Japan can carry
on with its current policy, leaving security to the Americans and concentrating
on the economic and the political, the world will be better off. And the
Japanese are quite happy to do this. It is when America feels that it's
too burdensome and not worth the candle to be present in East Asia to
protect Japan that it will have to look after its own security. When Japan
becomes a separate player, it is an extra joker in the pack of cards.
FZ: You've
said recently that allowing Japan to send its forces abroad is like giving
liquor to an alcoholic.
LKY: The
Japanese have always had this cultural trait, that whatever they do they
carry it to the nth degree. I think they know this. I have Japanese friends
who have told me this. They admit that this is a problem with them.
FZ: What
if Japan did follow the trajectory that most great powers have; that it
was not content simply to be an economic superpower, "a bank with a flag"
in a writer's phrase? What if they decided they wanted to have the ultimate
mark of a great power -- nuclear weapons? What should the world do?
LKY: If they
decided on that the world will not be able to stop them. You are unable
to stop North Korea. Nobody believes that an American government that
could not sustain its mission in Somalia because of an ambush and one
television snippet of a dead American pulled through the streets in Mogadishu
could contemplate a strike on North Korean nuclear facilities like the
Israeli strike on Iraq. Therefore it can only be sanctions in the U.N.
Security Council. That requires that there be no vetoes. Similarly, if
the Japanese decide to go nuclear, I don't believe you will be able to
stop them. But they know that they face a nuclear power in China and in
Russia, and so they would have to posture themselves in such a way as
not to invite a preemptive strike. If they can avoid a preemptive strike
then a balance will be established. Each will deter the others.
FZ: So it's
the transition period that you are worried about.
LKY: I would
prefer that the matter never arises and I believe so does the world. Whether
the Japanese go down the military path will depend largely on America's
strength and its willingness to be engaged.
VIVE LA DIFFERENCE
FZ: Is there
some contradiction here between your role as a politician and your new
role as an intellectual, speaking out on all matters? As a politician
you want America as a strong balancer in the region, a country that is
feared and respected all over the world. As an intellectual, however,
you choose to speak out forcefully against the American model in a way
that has to undermine America's credibility abroad.
LKY: That's
preposterous. The last thing I would want to do is to undermine her credibility.
America has been unusual in the history of the world, being the sole possessor
of power -- the nuclear weapon -- and the one and only government in the
world unaffected by war damage whilst the others were in ruins. Any old
and established nation would have ensured its supremacy for as long as
it could. But America set out to put her defeated enemies on their feet,
to ward off an evil force, the Soviet Union, brought about technological
change by transferring technology generously and freely to Europeans and
to Japanese, and enabled them to become her challengers within 30 years.
By 1975 they were at her heels. That's unprecedented in history. There
was a certain greatness of spirit born out of the fear of communism plus
American idealism that brought that about. But that does not mean that
we all admire everything about America.
Let me be frank;
if we did not have the good points of the West to guide us, we wouldn't
have got out of our backwardness. We would have been a backward economy
with a backward society. But we do not want all of the West.
A CODA ON CULTURE
THE DOMINANT THEME
throughout our conversation was culture. Lee returned again and again
to his views on the importance of culture and the differences between
Confucianism and Western values. In this respect, Lee is very much part
of a trend. Culture is in. From business consultants to military strategists,
people talk about culture as the deepest and most determinative aspect
of human life.
I remain skeptical.
If culture is destiny, what explains a culture's failure in one era and
success in another? If Confucianism explains the economic boom in East
Asia today, does it not also explain that region's stagnation for four
centuries? In fact, when East Asia seemed immutably poor, many scholars
-- most famously Max Weber -- made precisely that case, arguing that Confucian-based
cultures discouraged all the attributes necessary for success in capitalism.
Today scholars explain
how Confucianism emphasizes the essential traits for economic dynamism.
Were Latin American countries to succeed in the next few decades, we shah
surely read encomiums to Latin culture. I suspect that since we cannot
find one simple answer to why certain societies succeed at certain times,
we examine successful societies and search within their cultures for the
seeds of success. Cultures being complex, one finds in them what one wants.
What explains Lee
Kuan Yew's fascination with culture? It is not something he was born with.
Until his thirties he was called "Harry" Lee (and still is by family and
friends). In the 1960s the British foreign secretary could say to him,
"Harry, you're the best bloody Englishman east of the Suez." This is not
a man untouched by the West. Part of his interest in cultural differences
is surely that they provide a coherent defense against what he sees as
Western democratic imperialism. But a deeper reason is revealed in something
he said in our conversation: "We have left the past behind, and there
is an underlying unease that there will be nothing left of us which is
part of the old."
Cultures change.
Under the impact of economic growth, technological change and social transformation,
no culture has remained the same. Most of the attributes that Lee sees
in Eastern cultures were once part of the West. Four hundred years of
economic growth changed things. From the very beginning of England's economic
boom, many Englishmen worried that as their country became rich it was
losing its moral and ethical base. "Wealth accumulates and men decay,"
wrote Oliver Goldsmith in 1770. It is this "decay" that Lee is trying
to stave off. He speaks of the anxious search for religion in East Asia
today, and while he never says this, his own quest for a Confucian alternative
to the West is part of this search.
But to be modern
without becoming more Western is difficult; the two are not wholly separable.
The West has left a mark on "the rest," and it is not simply a legacy
of technology and material products. It is, perhaps most profoundly, in
the realm of ideas. At the close of the interview Lee handed me three
pages. This was, he explained, to emphasize how alien Confucian culture
is to the West. The pages were from the book East Asia: Tradition and
Transformation, by John Fairbank, an American scholar.
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